TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087407
Played Sep 7Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111168111171210
David Mutl
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Mutl to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · David Mutl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held David Mutl at 63.4%
96 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:51What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lubas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1209 vs Mutl 1164
Lubas
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 20% vs Mutl 60%
Mutl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 40% vs Mutl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas +1 · Mutl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 1.73 / Mutl 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lubas)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087407
Lubas1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Mutl2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 31 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasMutlBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 323 vs 60 / 12248.3%49.2%156 / 323 vs 60 / 122Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasLubas 1.73/Mutl 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lubas won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Lubas10
WSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470WAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113
D. Mutl10
WSep 7 · 10:30D. Mutl3.251111113M. Regner1.338980LSep 7 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.5811114113D. Mutl2.25971151WSep 7 · 08:00D. Mutl1.441211113J. Srba2.6310590WSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113LSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113WSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113LSep 2 · 10:30D. Mutl3.25881191J. Grohsgott1.3311116113LSep 2 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.331311113D. Mutl3.2511780
Upcoming Matches
M. Lubas
D. Mutl
Nothing scheduled
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