TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063277
Played Sep 2Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117118––––
David Mutl
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · David Mutl below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8
61 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 8–3 David Mutl David Mutl has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Grohsgott)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mutl form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.33 / Mutl 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063277
Grohsgott1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 155 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 86 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it82% 115 of 141
Mutl3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott7wins
AwayMutl3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott100%6 of 6
AwayMutl75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott6Mutl4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott8Mutl2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott6Mutl4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott2Mutl3n = 5Mutl took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottMutlG − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.929.8+4.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottMutlBasisWin rate · lifetime747 / 1540 vs 55 / 11248.5%49.1%747 / 1540 vs 55 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.33/Mutl 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—1111113D. Mutl—6560
WAug 31 · 24:30J. Grohsgott—1111113D. Mutl—6270
LAug 29 · 22:30J. Grohsgott—591161D. Mutl—11118113
WJul 15 · 03:00J. Grohsgott—1111113D. Mutl—9480
WJul 15 · 01:00J. Grohsgott—1111113D. Mutl—2570
WJul 13 · 24:30J. Grohsgott—11117113D. Mutl—981171
LJul 3 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—611741D. Mutl—11911113
WJun 30 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—611127113D. Mutl—119101182
WJun 27 · 03:30J. Grohsgott—111111113D. Mutl—681341
LJun 27 · 02:00J. Grohsgott—8270D. Mutl—1111113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
D. Mutl10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113LSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113WSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113LSep 2 · 10:30D. Mutl3.25881191J. Grohsgott1.3311116113LSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:00D. Mutl2.636560J. Grohsgott1.441111113LSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113
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