TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058785
Played Sep 2Finished
David Mutl
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5115111412119411
Lubos Forman
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Mutl to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Mutl above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held David Mutl at 72.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H David Mutl 3–0 Lubos Forman Lubos Forman has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:13What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Mutl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Mutl
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mutl 1151 vs Forman 1177
Forman
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mutl 0% vs Forman 40%
Forman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mutl 30% vs Forman 50%
Forman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mutl -5 · Forman -1
Mutl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Mutl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Forman form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMutl 1.30 / Forman 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Mutl)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058785
Mutl1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 26 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Forman3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMutl3wins
AwayForman0wins
Mutl leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMutl100%3 of 3
AwayFormann = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mutl3Forman0n = 3Mutl took 3 of 3
S2Mutl3Forman0n = 3Mutl took 3 of 3
S3Mutl3Forman0n = 3Mutl took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMutlFormanM − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.319.7+13.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMutlFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 111 vs 199 / 39049.6%51%55 / 111 vs 199 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MutlMutl 1.30/Forman 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Mutl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Forman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 16 · 07:00D. Mutl—1211113L. Forman—10460
WMay 27 · 09:12D. Mutl—1111113L. Forman—8560
WMay 27 · 07:30D. Mutl—1111113L. Forman—8930
D. Mutl10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Mutl1.441211113J. Srba2.6310590WSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113LSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113WSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113LSep 2 · 10:30D. Mutl3.25881191J. Grohsgott1.3311116113LSep 2 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.331311113D. Mutl3.2511780LSep 2 · 07:00D. Mutl2.636560J. Grohsgott1.441111113LSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120
L. Forman10
LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113LAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731LAug 18 · 08:30L. Forman2.6361111792A. Hejduk1.44116411113WAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman1.25118711113M. Vrabec3.7541111472
Upcoming Matches
D. Mutl
L. Forman
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.