TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003404
Played Aug 25Finished
Lubos Forman
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11431113151210911
Milan Vrabec
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeLubos Forman to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLubos Forman above · Milan Vrabec below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Lubos Forman at 76.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Forman 12–6 Milan Vrabec Milan Vrabec has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Forman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Forman
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Forman 1149 vs Vrabec 1143
Forman
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Forman 40% vs Vrabec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Forman 20% vs Vrabec 40%
Vrabec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Forman -3 · Vrabec +1
Forman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Forman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrabec form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsForman 1.30 / Vrabec 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Forman)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003404
Forman1.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 32 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Vrabec3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 24 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeForman7wins
AwayVrabec3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderForman leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeForman87.5%7 of 8
AwayVrabecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Forman8Vrabec2n = 10Forman took 8 of 10
S2Forman6Vrabec4n = 10Forman took 6 of 10
S3Forman7Vrabec3n = 10Forman took 7 of 10
S4Forman3Vrabec1n = 4Forman took 3 of 4
S5Forman1Vrabec2n = 3Vrabec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFormanVrabecF − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.229.5+7.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFormanVrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 396 vs 170 / 34150.3%49.9%199 / 396 vs 170 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FormanForman 1.30/Vrabec 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Forman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman—113131292M. Vrabec—4111510113
WAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman—118711113M. Vrabec—41111472
WJun 16 · 08:30L. Forman—1212113M. Vrabec—101060
WJun 9 · 06:30L. Forman—1111113M. Vrabec—5490
LMay 19 · 08:58L. Forman—81170M. Vrabec—1113113
WMay 19 · 08:00L. Forman—1111113M. Vrabec—2980
WMay 11 · 07:30L. Forman—1111113M. Vrabec—9220
WApr 29 · 08:00L. Forman—1112113M. Vrabec—71090
WApr 13 · 08:58L. Forman—11911113M. Vrabec—711261
LApr 13 · 08:30L. Forman—011118102M. Vrabec—116411123
L. Forman10
LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113LAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731LAug 18 · 08:30L. Forman2.6361111792A. Hejduk1.44116411113WAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman1.25118711113M. Vrabec3.7541111472
M. Vrabec10
LSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113WSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113WSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113WSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113LSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560WSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman1.25118711113M. Vrabec3.7541111472
Upcoming Matches
L. Forman
Nothing scheduled
M. Vrabec
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