TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13001310
Played Aug 25Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711117117511
Lubos Forman
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 56.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 11–13 Lubos Forman Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Forman
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1151 vs Forman 1171
Forman
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Forman 40%
Grohsgott
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 60% vs Forman 30%
Grohsgott
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +3 · Forman -2
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.61 / Forman 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13001310
Grohsgott1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 152 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it97% 83 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 112 of 136
Forman2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 11 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott4wins
AwayForman6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderForman leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgottn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayForman75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott2Forman8n = 10Forman took 8 of 10
S2Grohsgott2Forman8n = 10Forman took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott6Forman4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Forman3n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S5Grohsgott2Forman1n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottFormanG − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.839.9−5.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1545 vs 200 / 39648.5%50.5%749 / 1545 vs 200 / 396Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.61/Forman 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Forman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott—9760L. Forman—1111113
LAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—97111152L. Forman—111177113
WMay 8 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—1111116143L. Forman—136611122
WApr 24 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—11117113L. Forman—951191
LMar 30 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—561151L. Forman—11116113
WFeb 7 · 11:00J. Grohsgott—1081313113L. Forman—1211111182
WFeb 4 · 10:30J. Grohsgott—11311113L. Forman—611991
LFeb 4 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—5380L. Forman—1111113
LFeb 2 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—81011101L. Forman—11129123
LJan 29 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—6740L. Forman—1111113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
L. Forman10
LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113LAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731LAug 18 · 08:30L. Forman2.6361111792A. Hejduk1.44116411113WAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman1.25118711113M. Vrabec3.7541111472
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