TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449592
Played Aug 18Finished
Lubos Forman
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116114711911
Alexander Hejduk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:31 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeAlexander Hejduk to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubos Forman above · Alexander Hejduk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Alexander Hejduk at 61.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Forman 4–9 Alexander Hejduk Lubos Forman has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hejduk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Hejduk
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Forman 1179 vs Hejduk 1175
Forman
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Forman 40% vs Hejduk 80%
Hejduk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Forman 50% vs Hejduk 80%
Hejduk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Forman +2 · Hejduk +3
Hejduk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hejduk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsForman 2.63 / Hejduk 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Hejduk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449592
Forman2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Hejduk1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 39 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeForman3wins
AwayHejduk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHejduk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeForman20%1 of 5
AwayHejduk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Forman5Hejduk5n = 10split evenly
S2Forman1Hejduk9n = 10Hejduk took 9 of 10
S3Forman4Hejduk6n = 10Hejduk took 6 of 10
S4Forman3Hejduk5n = 8Hejduk took 5 of 8
S5Forman2Hejduk1n = 3Forman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFormanHejdukF − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.340.4−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFormanHejdukBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 396 vs 192 / 41251%46.6%202 / 396 vs 192 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukForman 2.63/Hejduk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 30 · 09:30L. Forman—114671A. Hejduk—81111113
LMar 30 · 08:30L. Forman—911931A. Hejduk—11711113
LMar 25 · 09:00L. Forman—9380A. Hejduk—1111113
WMar 10 · 10:28L. Forman—441115113A. Hejduk—111131372
LMar 10 · 09:30L. Forman—1112641A. Hejduk—61411113
LMar 5 · 09:00L. Forman—115751A. Hejduk—91111113
LFeb 2 · 09:30L. Forman—81090A. Hejduk—1112113
LJan 11 · 10:00L. Forman—11911852A. Hejduk—511811113
WJan 11 · 09:30L. Forman—12411113A. Hejduk—1011851
WJan 2 · 08:00L. Forman—781111113A. Hejduk—11119792
L. Forman10
LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113LAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731WAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman1.25118711113M. Vrabec3.7541111472
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WAug 18 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.4471211113L. Forman2.631110731
Upcoming Matches
L. Forman
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A. Hejduk
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