TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12454564
Played Aug 18Finished
Alexander Hejduk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210117113––
Lubos Forman
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched — 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeAlexander Hejduk to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 72 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Alexander Hejduk at 65.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 10–4 Lubos Forman Lubos Forman has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:01What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hejduk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Hejduk
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1186 vs Forman 1169
Hejduk
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 80% vs Forman 40%
Hejduk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 80% vs Forman 40%
Hejduk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk +4 · Forman -1
Hejduk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hejduk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 1.44 / Forman 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Hejduk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12454564
Hejduk1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 39 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Forman2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHejduk8wins
AwayForman2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHejduk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejduk80%4 of 5
AwayForman20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk5Forman5n = 10split evenly
S2Hejduk8Forman2n = 10Hejduk took 8 of 10
S3Hejduk6Forman4n = 10Hejduk took 6 of 10
S4Hejduk6Forman2n = 8Hejduk took 6 of 8
S5Hejduk2Forman1n = 3Hejduk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHejdukFormanH − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.033.9+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 413 vs 201 / 39646.7%50.8%193 / 413 vs 201 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukHejduk 1.44/Forman 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 08:30A. Hejduk—116411113L. Forman—61111792
WMar 30 · 09:30A. Hejduk—81111113L. Forman—114671
WMar 30 · 08:30A. Hejduk—11711113L. Forman—911931
WMar 25 · 09:00A. Hejduk—1111113L. Forman—9380
LMar 10 · 10:28A. Hejduk—111131372L. Forman—441115113
WMar 10 · 09:30A. Hejduk—61411113L. Forman—1112641
WMar 5 · 09:00A. Hejduk—91111113L. Forman—115751
WFeb 2 · 09:30A. Hejduk—1112113L. Forman—81090
WJan 11 · 10:00A. Hejduk—511811113L. Forman—11911852
LJan 11 · 09:30A. Hejduk—1011851L. Forman—12411113
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113
L. Forman10
LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113LAug 18 · 08:30L. Forman2.6361111792A. Hejduk1.44116411113WAug 18 · 07:00L. Forman1.25118711113M. Vrabec3.7541111472
Upcoming Matches
A. Hejduk
L. Forman
Nothing scheduled
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