TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087387
Played Sep 7Finished
Milan Vrabec
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511117411––
Jan Srba
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeJan Srba to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Vrabec above · Jan Srba below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jan Srba at 75.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vrabec 0–3 Jan Srba Milan Vrabec has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Srba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Srba
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vrabec 1169 vs Srba 1262
Srba
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrabec 80% vs Srba 40%
Vrabec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrabec 70% vs Srba 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrabec +3 · Srba +2
Vrabec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Srba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srba form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrabec 3.75 / Srba 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Srba)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087387
Vrabec3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 26 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Srba1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVrabec0wins
AwaySrba3wins
Srba leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVrabecn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySrba100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vrabec0Srba3n = 3Srba took 3 of 3
S2Vrabec0Srba3n = 3Srba took 3 of 3
S3Vrabec1Srba2n = 3Srba took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricVrabecSrbaV − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match20.736.0−15.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrabecSrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 348 vs 33 / 6050.6%55%176 / 348 vs 33 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrbaVrabec 3.75/Srba 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Srba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Srba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec—951141J. Srba—11117113
LMay 25 · 09:30M. Vrabec—3450J. Srba—1111113
LMay 25 · 07:00M. Vrabec—11370J. Srba—1311113
M. Vrabec10
WSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113WSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113WSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113WSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113LSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560WSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Vrabec1.4411116113M. Smesny2.63691161LAug 25 · 09:30M. Vrabec2.35351171V. Stach1.5311118113
J. Srba10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133LJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113LJun 8 · 06:00L. Madle1.911114113J. Srba1.8091220WMay 25 · 09:30J. Srba1.401111113M. Vrabec2.753450WMay 25 · 08:00M. Smesny2.00711751J. Srba1.7311811113WMay 25 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.7311370J. Srba2.001311113WMay 25 · 06:30J. Srba1.44121179113J. Strnad2.63109111192WMay 15 · 09:30J. Srba2.00911811113J. Vrba1.7311911862
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.