TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11894018
Played May 15Finished
Jan Srba
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119811118116
Jindrich Vrba
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Srba above · Jindrich Vrba below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Srba 1–2 Jindrich Vrba Jan Srba has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vrba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSrba 2.00 / Vrba 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vrba)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11894018
Srba2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Vrba1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSrba1wins
AwayVrba2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVrba leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Srba1Vrba2n = 3Vrba took 2 of 3
S2Srba0Vrba3n = 3Vrba took 3 of 3
S3Srba1Vrba2n = 3Vrba took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricSrbaVrbaS − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.034.3−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrbaVrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 75 vs 110 / 22852%48.3%39 / 75 vs 110 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VrbaSrba 2.00/Vrba 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
53.7%
Vrba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Srba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 15 · 06:30J. Srba—3J. Vrba—2
LMar 2 · 14:30J. Srba—0J. Vrba—3
LMar 2 · 13:00J. Srba—0J. Vrba—3
J. Srba10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Mutl1.441211113J. Srba2.6310590WSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133LJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113LJun 8 · 06:00L. Madle1.911114113J. Srba1.8091220WMay 25 · 09:30J. Srba1.401111113M. Vrabec2.753450WMay 25 · 08:00M. Smesny2.00711751J. Srba1.7311811113WMay 25 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.7311370J. Srba2.001311113
J. Vrba10
WAug 21 · 17:30J. Vrba1.52119126103J. Cernik2.35411101182WAug 21 · 16:30J. Vrba1.258111111113A. Tkachenko3.7511771382WAug 21 · 15:00J. Vrba1.6711115113V. Stach2.10791161WAug 21 · 14:00J. Cernik1.503970J. Vrba2.501111113LAug 10 · 17:00L. Havrda1.2891111113J. Vrba3.50116731LAug 10 · 16:00J. Hyrsl1.801111123J. Vrba1.9169100LAug 10 · 15:00J. Svec1.831411112123J. Vrba1.831211814102LAug 10 · 14:30J. Vrba3.00611741L. Havrda1.3611511113LJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133WJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113
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