TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12397973
Played Aug 10Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116117113––
Jindrich Vrba
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Jindrich Vrba below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 69 set 4, 11-3
69 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 6–0 Jindrich Vrba Jindrich Vrba has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Havrda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrba form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.28 / Vrba 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Havrda)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12397973
Havrda1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 41 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Vrba3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 14 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHavrda6wins
AwayVrba0wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHavrda leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda100%3 of 3
AwayVrba0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda3Vrba3n = 6split evenly
S2Havrda4Vrba2n = 6Havrda took 4 of 6
S3Havrda5Vrba1n = 6Havrda took 5 of 6
S4Havrda4Vrba0n = 4Havrda took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHavrdaVrbaH − VBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.330.7+10.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaVrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 503 vs 73 / 15543.7%47.1%220 / 503 vs 73 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaHavrda 1.28/Vrba 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 10 · 14:30L. Havrda—11511113J. Vrba—611741
WAug 24 · 07:30L. Havrda—1171111113J. Vrba—13110372
WMay 27 · 17:05L. Havrda—1012511113J. Vrba—121011782
WMay 27 · 15:00L. Havrda—61211143J. Vrba—11105121
WFeb 13 · 18:02L. Havrda—1111113J. Vrba—4940
WFeb 13 · 15:00L. Havrda—1111123J. Vrba—63100
L. Havrda10
WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581LAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113
J. Vrba10
WAug 21 · 17:30J. Vrba1.52119126103J. Cernik2.35411101182WAug 21 · 16:30J. Vrba1.258111111113A. Tkachenko3.7511771382WAug 21 · 15:00J. Vrba1.6711115113V. Stach2.10791161WAug 21 · 14:00J. Cernik1.503970J. Vrba2.501111113LAug 10 · 16:00J. Hyrsl1.801111123J. Vrba1.9169100LAug 10 · 15:00J. Svec1.831411112123J. Vrba1.831211814102LAug 10 · 14:30J. Vrba3.00611741L. Havrda1.3611511113WAug 5 · 09:29J. Vrba1.61611811113V. Stach2.2011511862WAug 5 · 08:00J. Vrba1.9111119113V. Stach1.80671191WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hubka2.2078100J. Vrba1.611111123
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