TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12391289
Played Aug 10Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161191210––––
Jindrich Vrba
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeJindrich Vrba to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Hyrsl above · Jindrich Vrba below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jindrich Vrba at 62.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 1–0 Jindrich Vrba Jindrich Vrba has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:08What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hyrsl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1197 vs Vrba 1165
Hyrsl
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 80% vs Vrba 60%
Hyrsl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 50% vs Vrba 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl +2 · Vrba -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hyrsl) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 1.80 / Vrba 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hyrsl)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12391289
Hyrsl1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 18 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Vrba1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 14 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHyrsl1wins
AwayVrba0wins
Hyrsl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHyrslVrbaH − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.025.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslVrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 99 vs 73 / 15544.4%47.1%44 / 99 vs 73 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyrslHyrsl 1.80/Vrba 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hyrsl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hyrsl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 10 · 16:00J. Hyrsl—1111123J. Vrba—69100
J. Hyrsl10
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152LAug 16 · 12:00J. Hyrsl2.10711851M. Vaclavik1.6511811113LAug 16 · 11:30V. Sr1.551111113J. Hyrsl2.309840LAug 16 · 10:00J. Hyrsl2.20511881J. Strnad1.6011711113LAug 14 · 17:02L. Havrda1.85117115113J. Hyrsl1.8591121182LAug 14 · 16:00J. Hyrsl3.009720Z. Kasinski1.361111113
J. Vrba10
WAug 21 · 17:30J. Vrba1.52119126103J. Cernik2.35411101182WAug 21 · 16:30J. Vrba1.258111111113A. Tkachenko3.7511771382WAug 21 · 15:00J. Vrba1.6711115113V. Stach2.10791161WAug 21 · 14:00J. Cernik1.503970J. Vrba2.501111113LAug 10 · 17:00L. Havrda1.2891111113J. Vrba3.50116731LAug 10 · 15:00J. Svec1.831411112123J. Vrba1.831211814102LAug 10 · 14:30J. Vrba3.00611741L. Havrda1.3611511113WAug 5 · 09:29J. Vrba1.61611811113V. Stach2.2011511862WAug 5 · 08:00J. Vrba1.9111119113V. Stach1.80671191WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hubka2.2078100J. Vrba1.611111123
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