TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12442969
Played Aug 16Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117811811––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:11 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hyrsl above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 60.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 1–3 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Jiri Hyrsl has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Strnad
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1172 vs Strnad 1270
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 20% vs Strnad 60%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 50% vs Strnad 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl -4 · Strnad -2
Hyrsl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 2.20 / Strnad 1.60
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Strnad)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12442969
Hyrsl2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 14 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Strnad1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 131 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 101 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHyrsl1wins
AwayStrnad3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderStrnad leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyrsl2Strnad2n = 4split evenly
S2Hyrsl1Strnad3n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
S3Hyrsl1Strnad3n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
S4Hyrsl0Strnad3n = 3Strnad took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHyrslStrnadH − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match33.842.2−8.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 104 vs 509 / 105043.3%48.5%45 / 104 vs 509 / 1050Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadHyrsl 2.20/Strnad 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 2 · 09:00J. Hyrsl—851441J. Strnad—111112113
LAug 2 · 07:00J. Hyrsl—1341291J. Strnad—111114113
LMay 20 · 15:30J. Hyrsl—8380J. Strnad—1111113
WFeb 25 · 21:30J. Hyrsl—111167123J. Strnad—751111102
J. Hyrsl10
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152LAug 16 · 12:00J. Hyrsl2.10711851M. Vaclavik1.6511811113LAug 16 · 11:30V. Sr1.551111113J. Hyrsl2.309840LAug 14 · 17:02L. Havrda1.85117115113J. Hyrsl1.8591121182LAug 14 · 16:00J. Hyrsl3.009720Z. Kasinski1.361111113LAug 14 · 15:30L. Havrda1.83111165113J. Hyrsl1.8375111122
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111
Upcoming Matches
J. Hyrsl
Nothing scheduled
J. Strnad
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.