TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12475610
Played Aug 23Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311311116911––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.03
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Hyrsl to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
311311116911––
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 2–3 Jaromir Cernik Jiri Hyrsl has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:31What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Hyrsl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1069 vs Cernik 1138
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 0% vs Cernik 20%
Cernik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 10% vs Cernik 30%
Cernik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl -5 · Cernik -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cernik) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 1.62 / Cernik 2.03
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cernik)+9.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12475610
Hyrsl1.62
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Cernik2.03
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 46 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHyrsl2wins
AwayCernik3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderCernik leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyrsln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCernik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyrsl1Cernik4n = 5Cernik took 4 of 5
S2Hyrsl4Cernik1n = 5Hyrsl took 4 of 5
S3Hyrsl3Cernik2n = 5Hyrsl took 3 of 5
S4Hyrsl2Cernik2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricHyrslCernikH − CBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match35.838.6−2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 112 vs 372 / 80640.2%46.2%45 / 112 vs 372 / 806Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikHyrsl 1.62/Cernik 2.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Hyrsl—61691262J. Cernik—11141110113
LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl—331191J. Cernik—11116113
WMay 30 · 08:00J. Hyrsl—71111133J. Cernik—1157111
WMar 22 · 07:30J. Hyrsl—1111113J. Cernik—7880
LFeb 1 · 24:00J. Hyrsl—911271J. Cernik—11711113
J. Hyrsl10
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152LAug 16 · 12:00J. Hyrsl2.10711851M. Vaclavik1.6511811113LAug 16 · 11:30V. Sr1.551111113J. Hyrsl2.309840LAug 16 · 10:00J. Hyrsl2.20511881J. Strnad1.6011711113LAug 14 · 17:02L. Havrda1.85117115113J. Hyrsl1.8591121182LAug 14 · 16:00J. Hyrsl3.009720Z. Kasinski1.361111113LAug 14 · 15:30L. Havrda1.83111165113J. Hyrsl1.8375111122
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850WAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262
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