TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12425131
Played Aug 14Finished
Jiri Hyrsl
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711211––––
Zdenek Kasinski
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Hyrsl above · Zdenek Kasinski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 51 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 68.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Hyrsl 1–1 Zdenek Kasinski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kasinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hyrsl 1197 vs Kasinski 1191
Hyrsl
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyrsl 60% vs Kasinski 40%
Hyrsl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyrsl 60% vs Kasinski 40%
Hyrsl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyrsl -2 · Kasinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kasinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyrsl 3.00 / Kasinski 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kasinski)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12425131
Hyrsl3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 14 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Kasinski1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite17% won 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHyrsl1wins
AwayKasinski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHyrslKasinskiH − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.541.50.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyrslKasinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 102 vs 70 / 15044.1%46.7%45 / 102 vs 70 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiHyrsl 3.00/Kasinski 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 5 · 15:30J. Hyrsl—971111113Z. Kasinski—11116662
LJun 9 · 14:30J. Hyrsl—129941Z. Kasinski—101111113
J. Hyrsl10
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152LAug 16 · 12:00J. Hyrsl2.10711851M. Vaclavik1.6511811113LAug 16 · 11:30V. Sr1.551111113J. Hyrsl2.309840LAug 16 · 10:00J. Hyrsl2.20511881J. Strnad1.6011711113LAug 14 · 17:02L. Havrda1.85117115113J. Hyrsl1.8591121182LAug 14 · 15:30L. Havrda1.83111165113J. Hyrsl1.8375111122
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113LAug 28 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.53115551L. Novotny2.3891111113LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113LAug 28 · 10:00J. Strnad2.6361111113Z. Kasinski1.44114871LAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191LAug 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.731191591V. Sr2.0081117113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.