TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12443132
Played Aug 16Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118114––––
Jiri Hyrsl
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:21 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Hyrsl to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Jiri Hyrsl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jiri Hyrsl at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 4–0 Jiri Hyrsl Jiri Hyrsl has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:21What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Sr
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1165 vs Hyrsl 1156
Sr
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 40% vs Hyrsl 0%
Sr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 30% vs Hyrsl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +2 · Hyrsl -5
Hyrsl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyrsl form (0%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.55 / Hyrsl 2.30
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sr)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12443132
Sr1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 103 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it69% 72 of 104
Hyrsl2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 14 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayHyrsl0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSr leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr2Hyrsl2n = 4split evenly
S2Sr4Hyrsl0n = 4Sr took 4 of 4
S3Sr2Hyrsl2n = 4split evenly
S4Sr3Hyrsl0n = 3Sr took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSrHyrslS − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.832.8+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrHyrslBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 1017 vs 45 / 10546.2%42.9%470 / 1017 vs 45 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.55/Hyrsl 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 2 · 06:30V. Sr—1111113J. Hyrsl—9410
WJul 28 · 17:00V. Sr—11118113J. Hyrsl—981151
WJul 28 · 14:30V. Sr—10131011113J. Hyrsl—121112862
WFeb 9 · 07:30V. Sr—61411113J. Hyrsl—1112571
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180
J. Hyrsl10
LAug 23 · 09:00J. Cernik1.7311141110113J. Hyrsl2.0061691262LAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113LAug 23 · 07:00J. Hyrsl1.62331191J. Cernik2.0311116113LAug 23 · 06:00L. Havrda1.6111811113J. Hyrsl2.20411641LAug 16 · 12:59V. Sr1.57137118113J. Hyrsl2.25111101152LAug 16 · 12:00J. Hyrsl2.10711851M. Vaclavik1.6511811113LAug 16 · 10:00J. Hyrsl2.20511881J. Strnad1.6011711113LAug 14 · 17:02L. Havrda1.85117115113J. Hyrsl1.8591121182LAug 14 · 16:00J. Hyrsl3.009720Z. Kasinski1.361111113LAug 14 · 15:30L. Havrda1.83111165113J. Hyrsl1.8375111122
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