TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465821
Played Aug 21Finished
Jindrich Vrba
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119511116––
Vojtech Stach
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJindrich Vrba to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJindrich Vrba above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jindrich Vrba at 55.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jindrich Vrba 2–0 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:15What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vrba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vrba 1166 vs Stach 1244
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrba 20% vs Stach 60%
Stach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrba 50% vs Stach 70%
Stach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrba +1 · Stach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vrba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrba 1.67 / Stach 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vrba)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465821
Vrba1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 25 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Stach2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 9 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVrba2wins
AwayStach0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVrba leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVrbaStachV − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.537.0+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrbaStachBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 153 vs 53 / 10546.4%50.5%71 / 153 vs 53 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VrbaVrba 1.67/Stach 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vrba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vrba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 5 · 09:29J. Vrba—611811113V. Stach—11511862
WAug 5 · 08:00J. Vrba—11119113V. Stach—671191
J. Vrba10
WAug 21 · 17:30J. Vrba1.52119126103J. Cernik2.35411101182WAug 21 · 16:30J. Vrba1.258111111113A. Tkachenko3.7511771382WAug 21 · 14:00J. Cernik1.503970J. Vrba2.501111113LAug 10 · 17:00L. Havrda1.2891111113J. Vrba3.50116731LAug 10 · 16:00J. Hyrsl1.801111123J. Vrba1.9169100LAug 10 · 15:00J. Svec1.831411112123J. Vrba1.831211814102LAug 10 · 14:30J. Vrba3.00611741L. Havrda1.3611511113WAug 5 · 09:29J. Vrba1.61611811113V. Stach2.2011511862WAug 5 · 08:00J. Vrba1.9111119113V. Stach1.80671191WAug 5 · 07:30M. Hubka2.2078100J. Vrba1.611111123
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 5 · 09:29J. Vrba1.61611811113V. Stach2.2011511862LAug 5 · 08:00J. Vrba1.9111119113V. Stach1.80671191
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