TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11938242
Played May 25Finished
Milan Smesny
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118711511––
Jan Srba
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
How it is goingMilan Smesny above · Jan Srba below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Milan Smesny 1–1 Jan Srba Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Srba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srba form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmesny 2.00 / Srba 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Srba)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11938242
Smesny2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 25 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Srba1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSmesny1wins
AwaySrba1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSmesnySrbaSmesny − SrbaBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.542.0−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmesnySrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 497 vs 43 / 7947.7%54.4%237 / 497 vs 43 / 79Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrbaSmesny 2.00/Srba 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Srba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Srba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 15 · 07:00M. Smesny—1J. Srba—3
WOct 1 · 10:00M. Smesny—3J. Srba—2
M. Smesny10
WSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113WSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113WSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:30M. Smesny1.5010560L. Novotny2.501211113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Vrabec1.4411116113M. Smesny2.63691161WSep 1 · 09:29M. Smesny1.5711126113L. Novotny2.257101191WSep 1 · 08:30L. Novotny2.2511119772M. Smesny1.57561111113
J. Srba10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Mutl1.441211113J. Srba2.6310590WSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133LJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113LJun 8 · 06:00L. Madle1.911114113J. Srba1.8091220WMay 25 · 09:30J. Srba1.401111113M. Vrabec2.753450WMay 25 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.7311370J. Srba2.001311113WMay 25 · 06:30J. Srba1.44121179113J. Strnad2.63109111192
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