TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087528
Played Sep 7Finished
David Mutl
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115119––––
Jan Srba
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJan Srba to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Mutl above · Jan Srba below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jan Srba at 55.6%
58 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mutl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mutl 1127 vs Srba 1262
Srba
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mutl 60% vs Srba 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mutl 30% vs Srba 70%
Srba
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mutl +1 · Srba +3
Srba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mutl) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srba form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMutl 1.44 / Srba 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Mutl)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087528
Mutl1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 26 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Srba2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMutlSrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 119 vs 33 / 6048.7%55%58 / 119 vs 33 / 60Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MutlMutl 1.44/Srba 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Mutl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mutl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Mutl10
WSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113LSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113WSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113LSep 2 · 10:30D. Mutl3.25881191J. Grohsgott1.3311116113LSep 2 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.331311113D. Mutl3.2511780LSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:00D. Mutl2.636560J. Grohsgott1.441111113LSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120
J. Srba10
WSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133LJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113LJun 8 · 06:00L. Madle1.911114113J. Srba1.8091220WMay 25 · 09:30J. Srba1.401111113M. Vrabec2.753450WMay 25 · 08:00M. Smesny2.00711751J. Srba1.7311811113WMay 25 · 07:00M. Vrabec1.7311370J. Srba2.001311113WMay 25 · 06:30J. Srba1.44121179113J. Strnad2.63109111192
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.