TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087549
Played Sep 7Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114114––––
Milan Regner
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Lubas to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Milan Regner below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 45 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Miloslav Lubas at 54.9%
45 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 3–0 Milan Regner Milan Regner has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lubas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Lubas
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1218 vs Regner 1221
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 40% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 40% vs Regner 70%
Regner
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas +2 · Regner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 1.73 / Regner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lubas)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087549
Lubas1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Regner2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 34 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLubas3wins
AwayRegner0wins
Lubas leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLubas100%3 of 3
AwayRegnern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas3Regner0n = 3Lubas took 3 of 3
S2Lubas3Regner0n = 3Lubas took 3 of 3
S3Lubas2Regner1n = 3Lubas took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLubasRegnerL − RBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match37.328.3+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 324 vs 243 / 52448.5%46.4%157 / 324 vs 243 / 524Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasLubas 1.73/Regner 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 25 · 11:00M. Lubas—1112113M. Regner—81050
WMay 26 · 13:30M. Lubas—11133123M. Regner—21111101
WMay 26 · 11:30M. Lubas—1116123M. Regner—414100
M. Lubas10
WSep 7 · 13:30M. Lubas1.671111113D. Mutl2.107830WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102WSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113
M. Regner10
WSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113WSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:30D. Mutl3.251111113M. Regner1.338980WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113
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