TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091566
Played Sep 8Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112101012911––
Alexander Hejduk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Alexander Hejduk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 64.9%
82 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 9–6 Alexander Hejduk Alexander Hejduk has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vaclavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Vaclavik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1231 vs Hejduk 1067
Vaclavik
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 40% vs Hejduk 20%
Vaclavik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 50% vs Hejduk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik -1 · Hejduk -4
Hejduk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.40 / Hejduk 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Vaclavik)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091566
Vaclavik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 37 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Hejduk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back29% 24 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back18% 9 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclavik7wins
AwayHejduk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVaclavik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclavik100%6 of 6
AwayHejduk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik6Hejduk4n = 10Vaclavik took 6 of 10
S2Vaclavik5Hejduk5n = 10split evenly
S3Vaclavik7Hejduk3n = 10Vaclavik took 7 of 10
S4Vaclavik5Hejduk3n = 8Vaclavik took 5 of 8
S5Vaclavik2Hejduk1n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclavikHejdukV − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.5+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikHejdukBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 185 vs 193 / 42553%45.4%98 / 185 vs 193 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.40/Hejduk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.9%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik—7121091A. Hejduk—111012113
WSep 4 · 02:30M. Vaclavik—1111113A. Hejduk—6790
WAug 31 · 01:00M. Vaclavik—12911113A. Hejduk—1011991
WJul 29 · 01:30M. Vaclavik—1110711133A. Hejduk—712114112
WJul 24 · 24:30M. Vaclavik—1111113A. Hejduk—9890
LJul 4 · 06:30M. Vaclavik—61018121A. Hejduk—111216143
WJun 17 · 03:00M. Vaclavik—581111113A. Hejduk—11116842
LJun 17 · 24:30M. Vaclavik—1011111142A. Hejduk—124613113
WJun 11 · 23:00M. Vaclavik—11511123A. Hejduk—7119101
WJun 3 · 02:30M. Vaclavik—11118113A. Hejduk—591181
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 8 · 07:30M. Smesny2.385760M. Vaclavik1.531111113LSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113WSep 7 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.61771111113D. Mutl2.2011116852LSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110
A. Hejduk10
LSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba1.8361111123A. Hejduk1.831167101LSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vaclavik
Nothing scheduled
A. Hejduk
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