TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030174
Played Aug 28Finished
Vladimir Kubat
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611911––––
Ladislav Novotny
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeLadislav Novotny to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Ladislav Novotny below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ladislav Novotny at 59.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Kubat 9–16 Ladislav Novotny Vladimir Kubat has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Novotny
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1019 vs Novotny 1122
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 20% vs Novotny 40%
Novotny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 20% vs Novotny 40%
Novotny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat -4 · Novotny -1
Kubat
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 3.25 / Novotny 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Novotny)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030174
Kubat3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 23 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Novotny1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 42 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubat4wins
AwayNovotny6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat66.7%2 of 3
AwayNovotny71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat3Novotny7n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S2Kubat5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S3Kubat5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S4Kubat2Novotny5n = 7Novotny took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubatNovotnyK − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.535.8−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 314 vs 172 / 34640.8%49.7%128 / 314 vs 172 / 346Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyKubat 3.25/Novotny 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat—10750L. Novotny—1211113
LAug 27 · 06:30V. Kubat—471151L. Novotny—11113113
LMay 17 · 06:30V. Kubat—10930L. Novotny—1211113
LApr 27 · 07:00V. Kubat—1281171L. Novotny—14119113
WApr 20 · 13:08V. Kubat—81111113L. Novotny—117791
LApr 20 · 10:30V. Kubat—117641L. Novotny—91111113
LApr 2 · 07:30V. Kubat—611981L. Novotny—11811113
WMar 31 · 11:30V. Kubat—811119113L. Novotny—11771192
WMar 30 · 11:30V. Kubat—1111113L. Novotny—8580
WMar 24 · 14:30V. Kubat—11117113L. Novotny—701181
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151WAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
L. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113LSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113WSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560WSep 3 · 07:30M. Smesny1.5010560L. Novotny2.501211113WSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151WAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113WAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151
Upcoming Matches
V. Kubat
Nothing scheduled
L. Novotny
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