TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029354
Played Aug 28Finished
Andrii Tkachenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171210––––
Vladimir Kubat
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Tkachenko to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Tkachenko above · Vladimir Kubat below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Tkachenko at 61.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Tkachenko 1–1 Vladimir Kubat Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kubat
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1165 vs Kubat 999
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 60% vs Kubat 40%
Tkachenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 60% vs Kubat 30%
Tkachenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko -1 · Kubat -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 2.00 / Kubat 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tkachenko)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029354
Tkachenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 14 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Kubat1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 26 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTkachenko1wins
AwayKubat1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricTkachenkoKubatT − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.029.5−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 40 vs 127 / 31447.5%40.5%19 / 40 vs 127 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 2.00/Kubat 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko—1111123V. Kubat—97100
LAug 27 · 07:30A. Tkachenko—9780V. Kubat—1111113
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172WAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151WAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
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