TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470482
Played Aug 22Finished
Jiri Koch
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811119911––
Andrii Tkachenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Koch to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Koch above · Andrii Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Koch at 70.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Koch 0–1 Andrii Tkachenko Jiri Koch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Koch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koch 910 vs Tkachenko 1139
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koch 0% vs Tkachenko 20%
Tkachenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koch 20% vs Tkachenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koch -5 · Tkachenko +1
Koch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Koch) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoch 1.44 / Tkachenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Koch)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470482
Koch1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Tkachenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 10 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKoch0wins
AwayTkachenko1wins
Tkachenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKochTkachenkoK − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match33.042.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKochTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 104 vs 14 / 3238.5%43.8%40 / 104 vs 14 / 32Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KochKoch 1.44/Tkachenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Koch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch—581191A. Tkachenko—11119113
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 09:00J. Koch2.757910V. Kubat1.401111113LJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651WJul 8 · 07:30J. Koch1.911111133P. Petr1.8088110
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172
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