TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12181605
Played Jul 8Finished
Vladimir Kubat
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118411116115––
Jiri Koch
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Jiri Koch below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Kubat 5–0 Jiri Koch Jiri Koch has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kubat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.40 / Koch 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kubat)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12181605
Kubat1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 25 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Koch2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKubat5wins
AwayKoch0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKubat leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat100%4 of 4
AwayKochn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat4Koch1n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S2Kubat3Koch2n = 5Kubat took 3 of 5
S3Kubat4Koch1n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S4Kubat3Koch0n = 3Kubat took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKubatKochKubat − KochBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match39.225.6+13.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatKochBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 353 vs 51 / 11840.5%43.2%143 / 353 vs 51 / 118Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubatKubat 1.40/Koch 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Kubat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJun 18 · 08:59V. Kubat—1111711113J. Koch—61311552
WJun 18 · 08:30V. Kubat—11911113J. Koch—411161
WJun 9 · 06:30V. Kubat—1111113J. Koch—9630
WMay 6 · 09:30V. Kubat—41111113J. Koch—118381
WMay 6 · 06:30V. Kubat—1111113J. Koch—6750
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151WAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 09:00J. Koch2.757910V. Kubat1.401111113WJul 8 · 07:30J. Koch1.911111133P. Petr1.8088110
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