TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12185490
Played Jul 8Finished
Jiri Koch
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911111––––
Vladimir Kubat
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJiri Koch above · Vladimir Kubat below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 50 set 3, 1-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Koch 0–5 Vladimir Kubat Jiri Koch has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kubat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoch 2.75 / Kubat 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kubat)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12185490
Koch2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Kubat1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 25 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKoch0wins
AwayKubat5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKubat leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKochn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKubat100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koch1Kubat4n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S2Koch2Kubat3n = 5Kubat took 3 of 5
S3Koch1Kubat4n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S4Koch0Kubat3n = 3Kubat took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKochKubatKoch − KubatBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match25.639.2−13.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKochKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 118 vs 143 / 35343.2%40.5%51 / 118 vs 143 / 353Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubatKoch 2.75/Kubat 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Kubat · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 18 · 08:59J. Koch—61311552V. Kubat—1111711113
LJun 18 · 08:30J. Koch—411161V. Kubat—11911113
LJun 9 · 06:30J. Koch—9630V. Kubat—1111113
LMay 6 · 09:30J. Koch—118381V. Kubat—41111113
LMay 6 · 06:30J. Koch—6750V. Kubat—1111113
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651WJul 8 · 07:30J. Koch1.911111133P. Petr1.8088110
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102WAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591WJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651
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