TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12181635
Played Jul 8Finished
Jiri Koch
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181311––––
Pavel Petr
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Koch above · Pavel Petr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 62 set 3, 13-11
62 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Koch 10–8 Pavel Petr Pavel Petr has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Petr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petr form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoch 1.91 / Petr 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Petr)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12181635
Koch1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 10 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Petr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoch6wins
AwayPetr4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoch leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoch75%6 of 8
AwayPetrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koch8Petr2n = 10Koch took 8 of 10
S2Koch7Petr3n = 10Koch took 7 of 10
S3Koch6Petr4n = 10Koch took 6 of 10
S4Koch2Petr3n = 5Petr took 3 of 5
S5Koch1Petr3n = 4Petr took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKochPetrK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.236.6+4.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKochPetrBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 120 vs 81 / 14542.5%55.9%51 / 120 vs 81 / 145Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrKoch 1.91/Petr 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 8 · 07:30J. Koch—1111133P. Petr—88110
WJun 29 · 07:00J. Koch—1111113P. Petr—9560
LJun 24 · 12:00J. Koch—111113892P. Petr—971511113
WJun 9 · 13:30J. Koch—11118113P. Petr—281171
LJun 9 · 11:30J. Koch—6111214102P. Petr—1181016123
LMay 6 · 07:30J. Koch—8980P. Petr—1111113
WJan 17 · 14:00J. Koch—1120123P. Petr—918100
LJan 17 · 12:30J. Koch—12811672P. Petr—1011711113
WSep 19 · 16:30J. Koch—1311113P. Petr—11240
WSep 6 · 11:00J. Koch—1181011113P. Petr—91112932
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 09:00J. Koch2.757910V. Kubat1.401111113LJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651
P. Petr10
WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr1.61111129113V. Kubat2.2079111172WAug 18 · 06:00J. Strnad1.57126111172P. Petr2.25141194113WAug 11 · 13:28J. Strnad1.50119111572P. Petr2.50711517113LAug 11 · 12:00J. Strnad1.501615113P. Petr2.50141390
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