TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12450004
Played Aug 18Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214611119114711
Pavel Petr
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1961 to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Pavel Petr below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1961 at 55.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 3–3 Pavel Petr Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:13What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1095 vs Petr 1179
Petr
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Petr 80%
Petr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 70% vs Petr 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +2 · Petr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.57 / Petr 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Strnad)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12450004
Strnad1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 25 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Petr2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog60% won 9 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back33% 3 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayPetr3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad66.7%2 of 3
AwayPetr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad3Petr3n = 6split evenly
S2Strnad3Petr3n = 6split evenly
S3Strnad6Petr0n = 6Strnad took 6 of 6
S4Strnad2Petr2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricStrnadPetrS − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.539.8+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadPetrBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 381 vs 82 / 14140.7%58.2%155 / 381 vs 82 / 141Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.57/Petr 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 18 · 09:30J. Strnad—7101161P. Petr—11129113
LAug 18 · 06:00J. Strnad—126111172P. Petr—141194113
LAug 11 · 13:28J. Strnad—119111572P. Petr—711517113
WAug 11 · 12:00J. Strnad—1615113P. Petr—141390
WJun 29 · 06:00J. Strnad—1112113P. Petr—61090
WFeb 11 · 12:00J. Strnad—51112113P. Petr—1171071
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380
P. Petr10
WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr1.61111129113V. Kubat2.2079111172WAug 11 · 13:28J. Strnad1.50119111572P. Petr2.50711517113LAug 11 · 12:00J. Strnad1.501615113P. Petr2.50141390WAug 11 · 11:00P. Serak2.3851211872P. Petr1.531110711113
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