TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12464527
Played Aug 21Finished
Pavel Petr
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811118119114
Petr Serak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timePavel Petr to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Petr above · Petr Serak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 92 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Pavel Petr at 65.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Petr 9–2 Petr Serak Petr Serak has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Petr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Petr
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petr 1175 vs Serak 1060
Petr
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petr 100% vs Serak 80%
Petr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petr 90% vs Serak 50%
Petr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petr +5 · Serak +1
Petr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Petr) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetr 1.44 / Serak 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Petr)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12464527
Petr1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 28 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Serak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog18% won 6 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetr9wins
AwaySerak1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPetr leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetr100%5 of 5
AwaySerak20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petr5Serak5n = 10split evenly
S2Petr4Serak6n = 10Serak took 6 of 10
S3Petr7Serak3n = 10Petr took 7 of 10
S4Petr6Serak1n = 7Petr took 6 of 7
S5Petr5Serak0n = 5Petr took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetrSerakP − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.134.4+6.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrSerakBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 145 vs 81 / 19457.9%41.8%84 / 145 vs 81 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrPetr 1.44/Serak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Petr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr—1111113P. Serak—8490
WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr—881111113P. Serak—11118942
WAug 11 · 11:00P. Petr—1110711113P. Serak—51211872
WJun 24 · 13:30P. Petr—561112113P. Serak—111161032
WJun 24 · 10:00P. Petr—116911113P. Serak—71111772
WMay 27 · 13:00P. Petr—121111113P. Serak—149531
WMay 27 · 10:00P. Petr—11311113P. Serak—411881
WApr 28 · 12:00P. Petr—1111113P. Serak—3910
LApr 10 · 09:30P. Petr—11830P. Serak—1311113
WApr 10 · 06:00P. Petr—811119113P. Serak—11481192
P. Petr10
WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr1.61111129113V. Kubat2.2079111172WAug 18 · 06:00J. Strnad1.57126111172P. Petr2.25141194113WAug 11 · 13:28J. Strnad1.50119111572P. Petr2.50711517113LAug 11 · 12:00J. Strnad1.501615113P. Petr2.50141390WAug 11 · 11:00P. Serak2.3851211872P. Petr1.531110711113
P. Serak10
WAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172LAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972WAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:30J. Strnad1.361111113P. Serak3.004340LAug 21 · 07:30P. Serak2.207860A. Tkachenko1.611111113WAug 12 · 09:30C. Havrda2.2031060P. Serak1.601112113LAug 12 · 08:30J. Strnad1.57101111113P. Serak2.25124751LAug 11 · 11:00P. Serak2.3851211872P. Petr1.531110711113
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