TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470409
Played Aug 22Finished
Pavel Potmesil
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111116119––––
Jiri Koch
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Potmesil to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Potmesil above · Jiri Koch below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 49 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Potmesil at 55.8%
49 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Potmesil 1–0 Jiri Koch Jiri Koch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Potmesil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Potmesil 1018 vs Koch 910
Potmesil
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potmesil 20% vs Koch 0%
Potmesil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potmesil 30% vs Koch 10%
Potmesil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Potmesil +1 · Koch -5
Koch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Potmesil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koch form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotmesil 1.67 / Koch 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Potmesil)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470409
Potmesil1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 11 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Koch2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 9 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePotmesil1wins
AwayKoch0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPotmesil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPotmesilKochP − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.050.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotmesilKochBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 60 vs 40 / 10445%38.5%27 / 60 vs 40 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotmesilPotmesil 1.67/Koch 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Potmesil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Potmesil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 8 · 06:30P. Potmesil—914411113J. Koch—111211972
P. Potmesil10
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 09:30P. Potmesil1.283590A. Tkachenko3.501111113LJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
J. Koch10
LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113LAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 18 · 09:00V. Kubat1.3311111311123J. Koch3.25913152102LAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880LAug 18 · 07:30J. Koch3.005380J. Strnad1.361111113LAug 18 · 06:30V. Kubat1.3071111113J. Koch3.40117591LJul 8 · 09:00J. Koch2.757910V. Kubat1.401111113LJul 8 · 08:30V. Kubat1.4011411113J. Koch2.75811651WJul 8 · 07:30J. Koch1.911111133P. Petr1.8088110
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