TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12308974
Played Jul 27Finished
Pavel Potmesil
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511911––––
Andrii Tkachenko
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–5Last 7Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Potmesil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Potmesil above · Andrii Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 50 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Potmesil at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Potmesil 1–0 Andrii Tkachenko Andrii Tkachenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Potmesil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Potmesil 1123 vs Tkachenko 1034
Potmesil
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potmesil 40% vs Tkachenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potmesil 40% vs Tkachenko 29%
—
Too close
11pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Potmesil -1 · Tkachenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Potmesil) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotmesil 1.28 / Tkachenko 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Potmesil)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12308974
Potmesil1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Tkachenko3.50
29%won 2 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
29%takes the first set · 2 of 7
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePotmesil1wins
AwayTkachenko0wins
Potmesil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPotmesilTkachenkoP − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotmesilTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 51 vs 2 / 749%28.6%25 / 51 vs 2 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.01.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.128.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotmesilPotmesil 1.28/Tkachenko 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Potmesil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil—1111113A. Tkachenko—8590
P. Potmesil10
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
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