TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470421
Played Aug 22Finished
Andrii Tkachenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117119––––
Pavel Potmesil
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Tkachenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Tkachenko above · Pavel Potmesil below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Tkachenko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Tkachenko 3–1 Pavel Potmesil Pavel Potmesil has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Potmesil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Tkachenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1139 vs Potmesil 1018
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 0% vs Potmesil 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 20% vs Potmesil 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko -5 · Potmesil -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potmesil form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.83 / Potmesil 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tkachenko)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470421
Tkachenko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Potmesil1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTkachenko3wins
AwayPotmesil1wins
Tkachenko leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkachenko100%3 of 3
AwayPotmesiln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko3Potmesil1n = 4Tkachenko took 3 of 4
S2Tkachenko3Potmesil1n = 4Tkachenko took 3 of 4
S3Tkachenko2Potmesil2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricTkachenkoPotmesilT − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match32.224.0+8.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoPotmesilBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 32 vs 27 / 6043.8%45%14 / 32 vs 27 / 60Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 1.83/Potmesil 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko—11118113P. Potmesil—461151
WAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko—1111113P. Potmesil—4790
WJul 27 · 09:30A. Tkachenko—1111113P. Potmesil—3590
LJul 27 · 07:30A. Tkachenko—8590P. Potmesil—1111113
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172
P. Potmesil10
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 09:30P. Potmesil1.283590A. Tkachenko3.501111113LJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
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