TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306035
Played Jul 27Finished
Jiri Jira
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51111713111311––
Pavel Potmesil
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timePavel Potmesil to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Jira above · Pavel Potmesil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Pavel Potmesil at 60.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Jira 0–4 Pavel Potmesil Jiri Jira has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Potmesil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Potmesil
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jira 940 vs Potmesil 1143
Potmesil
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jira 0% vs Potmesil 60%
Potmesil
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jira 10% vs Potmesil 50%
Potmesil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jira -5 · Potmesil +2
Jira
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Potmesil) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jira form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJira 2.50 / Potmesil 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Potmesil)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306035
Jira2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 8 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Potmesil1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJira0wins
AwayPotmesil4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPotmesil leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jira2Potmesil2n = 4split evenly
S2Jira1Potmesil3n = 4Potmesil took 3 of 4
S3Jira1Potmesil3n = 4Potmesil took 3 of 4
S4Jira1Potmesil3n = 4Potmesil took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJiraPotmesilJ − PBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.244.8−6.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJiraPotmesilBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 234 vs 25 / 5041.5%50%97 / 234 vs 25 / 50Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotmesilJira 2.50/Potmesil 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Potmesil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jira won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 11 · 08:30J. Jira—11271192P. Potmesil—711119113
LApr 21 · 07:00J. Jira—10111281P. Potmesil—12914113
LNov 28 · 14:00J. Jira—9611151P. Potmesil—11114173
LNov 28 · 11:30J. Jira—116681P. Potmesil—81111113
J. Jira10
WJul 27 · 09:02P. Serak1.83410100J. Jira1.831112123LJul 27 · 07:00J. Jira3.4014880P. Serak1.301611113LJul 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.251111113J. Jira1.571690LJun 30 · 13:00J. Koch1.8311118113J. Jira1.83991181LJun 30 · 12:30J. Koch2.10512117113J. Jira1.67111091192LJun 30 · 11:30J. Jira2.7581070P. Serak1.401112113LJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 29 · 09:00P. Petr1.361011861J. Jira3.0012411113LJun 29 · 08:30P. Petr1.361211113J. Jira3.0010960LJun 29 · 07:30J. Jira2.254970J. Strnad1.571111113
P. Potmesil10
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 09:30P. Potmesil1.283590A. Tkachenko3.501111113WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
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