TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12306019
Played Jul 27Finished
Jiri Jira
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416811811––––
Petr Serak
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 76.4% is still 76.4%
Graded at full timePetr Serak to win
76.4%
76.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Jira above · Petr Serak below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 68 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Petr Serak at 76.4%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Jira 2–8 Petr Serak Jiri Jira has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Serak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Serak
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jira 976 vs Serak 1044
Serak
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jira 0% vs Serak 60%
Serak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jira 10% vs Serak 40%
Serak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jira -5 · Serak -1
Jira
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Serak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serak form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJira 3.40 / Serak 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Serak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12306019
Jira3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Serak1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it60% 12 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJira2wins
AwaySerak8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSerak leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJira40%2 of 5
AwaySerak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jira5Serak5n = 10split evenly
S2Jira2Serak8n = 10Serak took 8 of 10
S3Jira4Serak6n = 10Serak took 6 of 10
S4Jira2Serak4n = 6Serak took 4 of 6
S5Jira1Serak3n = 4Serak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJiraSerakJ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.540.8−4.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJiraSerakBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 236 vs 85 / 20642%41.3%99 / 236 vs 85 / 206Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerakJira 3.40/Serak 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Serak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Serak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 09:02J. Jira—1112123P. Serak—410100
LJul 27 · 07:00J. Jira—14880P. Serak—1611113
LJun 30 · 11:30J. Jira—81070P. Serak—1112113
LMay 11 · 08:58J. Jira—1111812102P. Serak—661114123
LMay 11 · 06:00J. Jira—99150P. Serak—1111173
WSep 20 · 10:30J. Jira—118119113P. Serak—71171172
LJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira—55111152P. Serak—111164113
LJun 12 · 08:30J. Jira—83151282P. Serak—11111310113
LJun 10 · 13:00J. Jira—117671P. Serak—81111113
LJun 10 · 10:30J. Jira—114471P. Serak—81111113
J. Jira10
WJul 27 · 09:02P. Serak1.83410100J. Jira1.831112123WJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111LJul 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.251111113J. Jira1.571690LJun 30 · 13:00J. Koch1.8311118113J. Jira1.83991181LJun 30 · 12:30J. Koch2.10512117113J. Jira1.67111091192LJun 30 · 11:30J. Jira2.7581070P. Serak1.401112113LJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 29 · 09:00P. Petr1.361011861J. Jira3.0012411113LJun 29 · 08:30P. Petr1.361211113J. Jira3.0010960LJun 29 · 07:30J. Jira2.254970J. Strnad1.571111113
P. Serak10
WAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172LAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972WAug 22 · 06:30P. Serak1.251111113J. Koch3.756860LAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:30J. Strnad1.361111113P. Serak3.004340LAug 21 · 07:30P. Serak2.207860A. Tkachenko1.611111113LAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942LJul 27 · 09:02P. Serak1.83410100J. Jira1.831112123WJun 30 · 11:30J. Jira2.7581070P. Serak1.401112113
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