TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12304781
Played Jul 27Finished
Andrii Tkachenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
0–4Last 4Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111116119––––
Jiri Jira
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Jira to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Tkachenko above · Jiri Jira below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 49 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Jira at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Tkachenko 1–0 Jiri Jira Jiri Jira has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:37What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jira
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1110 vs Jira 976
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 0% vs Jira 20%
Jira
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 0% vs Jira 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko -4 · Jira -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jira) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jira form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 2.25 / Jira 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jira)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12304781
Tkachenko2.25
0%won 0 of 4 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest25%takes the first set · 1 of 4
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Jira1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite29% won 4 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it40% 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTkachenko1wins
AwayJira0wins
Tkachenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTkachenkoJiraT − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoJiraBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 8 vs 99 / 23637.5%42%3 / 8 vs 99 / 236Avg sets wonper match1.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match28.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JiraTkachenko 2.25/Jira 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Jira · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko—1111113J. Jira—1690
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172
J. Jira10
WJul 27 · 09:02P. Serak1.83410100J. Jira1.831112123WJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111LJul 27 · 07:00J. Jira3.4014880P. Serak1.301611113LJun 30 · 13:00J. Koch1.8311118113J. Jira1.83991181LJun 30 · 12:30J. Koch2.10512117113J. Jira1.67111091192LJun 30 · 11:30J. Jira2.7581070P. Serak1.401112113LJun 30 · 10:30J. Stary1.6161113113J. Jira2.201181121WJun 29 · 09:00P. Petr1.361011861J. Jira3.0012411113LJun 29 · 08:30P. Petr1.361211113J. Jira3.0010960LJun 29 · 07:30J. Jira2.254970J. Strnad1.571111113
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