TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12474797
Played Aug 22Finished
Andrii Tkachenko
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114116811115––
Pavel Potmesil
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Tkachenko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Tkachenko above · Pavel Potmesil below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Andrii Tkachenko at 56.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Tkachenko 2–1 Pavel Potmesil Pavel Potmesil has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Tkachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1103 vs Potmesil 1049
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 60% vs Potmesil 40%
Tkachenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 50% vs Potmesil 30%
Tkachenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko +3 · Potmesil +2
Tkachenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tkachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.60 / Potmesil 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Tkachenko)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12474797
Tkachenko1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Potmesil2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 11 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTkachenko2wins
AwayPotmesil1wins
Tkachenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko2Potmesil1n = 3Tkachenko took 2 of 3
S2Tkachenko2Potmesil1n = 3Tkachenko took 2 of 3
S3Tkachenko2Potmesil1n = 3Tkachenko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTkachenkoPotmesilT − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match29.323.3+6.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoPotmesilBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 31 vs 27 / 5941.9%45.8%13 / 31 vs 27 / 59Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 1.60/Potmesil 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.9%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko—1111113P. Potmesil—4790
WJul 27 · 09:30A. Tkachenko—1111113P. Potmesil—3590
LJul 27 · 07:30A. Tkachenko—8590P. Potmesil—1111113
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 28 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.54511631L. Novotny2.1811911113WAug 28 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.40101212113J. Cernik1.3012101091WAug 28 · 07:30L. Novotny1.911110891A. Tkachenko1.8081211113WAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:28J. Strnad1.831114123A. Tkachenko1.83812100WAug 27 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.501111113L. Novotny1.506650LAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780WAug 27 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.10111110113J. Strnad1.67881231WAug 22 · 08:00A. Tkachenko1.531110129113P. Serak2.38712101172WAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113
P. Potmesil10
WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 09:30P. Potmesil1.283590A. Tkachenko3.501111113LJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
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