TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12395269
Played Aug 10Finished
Vladimir Kubat
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118511118––
Pavel Potmesil
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Pavel Potmesil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8
72 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Kubat 4–1 Pavel Potmesil Pavel Potmesil has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kubat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potmesil form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.50 / Potmesil 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Kubat)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12395269
Kubat1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 25 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Potmesil2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 11 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKubat4wins
AwayPotmesil1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKubat leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat100%4 of 4
AwayPotmesiln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat4Potmesil1n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S2Kubat4Potmesil1n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S3Kubat4Potmesil1n = 5Kubat took 4 of 5
S4Kubat1Potmesil2n = 3Potmesil took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKubatPotmesilK − PBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.430.0+10.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatPotmesilBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 321 vs 25 / 5541.4%45.5%133 / 321 vs 25 / 55Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubatKubat 1.50/Potmesil 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Kubat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat—11711113P. Potmesil—611741
LJul 8 · 07:00V. Kubat—81111892P. Potmesil—119811113
WJun 4 · 08:59V. Kubat—1111113P. Potmesil—5640
WJun 4 · 07:00V. Kubat—111197113P. Potmesil—55111182
WMar 23 · 08:00V. Kubat—1111113P. Potmesil—3680
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151WAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113
P. Potmesil10
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133LJul 27 · 09:30P. Potmesil1.283590A. Tkachenko3.501111113LJul 27 · 08:30J. Jira2.5051113133P. Potmesil1.5011711111WJul 27 · 07:30P. Potmesil1.611111113A. Tkachenko2.208590
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