TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13002264
Played Aug 24Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012118116––
Vit Kilian
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Vit Kilian below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6
73 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 1–0 Vit Kilian Vit Kilian has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kilian form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.53 / Kilian 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13002264
Sabuka1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 56 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Kilian2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSabuka1wins
AwayKilian0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSabuka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSabukaKilianS − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.045.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaKilianBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 531 vs 88 / 19145.8%46.1%243 / 531 vs 88 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.53/Kilian 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 11:00D. Sabuka—1110511113V. Kilian—71211872
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
V. Kilian10
LAug 27 · 12:28V. Kilian1.53581881M. Cervenka2.38111116113LAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113LAug 27 · 10:30D. Sabuka1.331111113V. Kilian3.259680WAug 27 · 10:00M. Cervenka2.101211581V. Kilian1.6714611113LAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kilian2.1071211872D. Sabuka1.671110511113LAug 24 · 10:00V. Kilian4.0091411542J. Krejcik1.221112811113WJul 20 · 16:33V. Kilian2.1011711113T. Holomek1.67911971LJul 20 · 15:30T. Holomek1.57911149143V. Kilian2.251171211122LJul 20 · 15:00V. Kilian1.531211891M. Cervenka2.3814711113
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