TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12271000
Played Jul 20Finished
Vit Kilian
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711119117––
Tomas Holomek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVit Kilian above · Tomas Holomek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7
76 points played in total.
H2H Vit Kilian 7–7 Tomas Holomek Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holomek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holomek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKilian 2.10 / Holomek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Holomek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12271000
Kilian2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 33 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Holomek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite42% won 15 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 14 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKilian5wins
AwayHolomek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKilian33.3%1 of 3
AwayHolomek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kilian3Holomek7n = 10Holomek took 7 of 10
S2Kilian5Holomek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kilian3Holomek7n = 10Holomek took 7 of 10
S4Kilian4Holomek4n = 8split evenly
S5Kilian5Holomek2n = 7Kilian took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKilianHolomekK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.646.0−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKilianHolomekBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 219 vs 64 / 13845.2%46.4%99 / 219 vs 64 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolomekKilian 2.10/Holomek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Holomek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kilian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 15:30V. Kilian—1171211122T. Holomek—911149143
LJul 9 · 12:29V. Kilian—67110T. Holomek—1111133
WJul 9 · 11:30V. Kilian—912311113T. Holomek—111011892
WJun 25 · 11:45V. Kilian—811116113T. Holomek—11591182
WJun 11 · 11:00V. Kilian—511215113T. Holomek—119111372
LMay 21 · 09:30V. Kilian—5121881T. Holomek—111020113
WFeb 12 · 12:30V. Kilian—1151011113T. Holomek—71112792
LOct 9 · 10:30V. Kilian—10870T. Holomek—1211103
WApr 24 · 12:30V. Kilian—911116113T. Holomek—11991172
LApr 24 · 11:30V. Kilian—117111182T. Holomek—811313113
V. Kilian10
LAug 27 · 12:28V. Kilian1.53581881M. Cervenka2.38111116113LAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113LAug 27 · 10:30D. Sabuka1.331111113V. Kilian3.259680WAug 27 · 10:00M. Cervenka2.101211581V. Kilian1.6714611113LAug 24 · 12:29D. Sabuka1.53111011113V. Kilian2.38412861LAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kilian2.1071211872D. Sabuka1.671110511113LAug 24 · 10:00V. Kilian4.0091411542J. Krejcik1.221112811113LJul 20 · 15:30T. Holomek1.57911149143V. Kilian2.251171211122LJul 20 · 15:00V. Kilian1.531211891M. Cervenka2.3814711113
T. Holomek10
LAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782LAug 13 · 12:00T. Holomek2.206870D. Sabuka1.611111113LAug 13 · 10:30M. Holub1.401111123T. Holomek2.7587100LAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101LAug 6 · 08:38A. Akopyan2.38116115113T. Holomek1.5361181182LAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113LAug 6 · 06:30T. Holomek2.2510480M. Holub1.571211113WAug 6 · 05:30T. Holomek1.4071411113A. Akopyan2.751112761LJul 27 · 16:28T. Holomek2.50121281152M. Cmil1.501410113113WJul 20 · 15:30T. Holomek1.57911149143V. Kilian2.251171211122
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.