TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415585
Played Aug 13Finished
Tomas Holomek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811711––––
David Sabuka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holomek above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held David Sabuka at 64.7%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holomek 1170 vs Sabuka 1264
Sabuka
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holomek 0% vs Sabuka 40%
Sabuka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holomek 10% vs Sabuka 30%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holomek -5 · Sabuka -2
Holomek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolomek 2.20 / Sabuka 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Sabuka)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12415585
Holomek2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog44% won 12 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Sabuka1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 54 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolomekSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 142 vs 248 / 53443%46.4%61 / 142 vs 248 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaHolomek 2.20/Sabuka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sabuka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Holomek10
LAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782LAug 13 · 10:30M. Holub1.401111123T. Holomek2.7587100LAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101LAug 6 · 08:38A. Akopyan2.38116115113T. Holomek1.5361181182LAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113LAug 6 · 06:30T. Holomek2.2510480M. Holub1.571211113WAug 6 · 05:30T. Holomek1.4071411113A. Akopyan2.751112761LJul 27 · 16:28T. Holomek2.50121281152M. Cmil1.501410113113LJul 27 · 16:00V. Coubal2.1011114113T. Holomek1.67881171LJul 27 · 15:00M. Cmil1.831111113T. Holomek1.837870
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782
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