TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12310903
Played Jul 27Finished
Tomas Holomek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141210811113511
Marcel Cmil
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Holomek above · Marcel Cmil below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 97 set 5, 5-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Holomek 9–12 Marcel Cmil Tomas Holomek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Cmil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holomek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolomek 2.50 / Cmil 1.50
Signal prob.30% / 71%
Edge (Cmil)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12310903
Holomek2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog52% won 13 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Cmil1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 103 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolomek3wins
AwayCmil7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCmil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolomekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCmil87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holomek2Cmil8n = 10Cmil took 8 of 10
S2Holomek6Cmil4n = 10Holomek took 6 of 10
S3Holomek6Cmil4n = 10Holomek took 6 of 10
S4Holomek2Cmil5n = 7Cmil took 5 of 7
S5Holomek1Cmil3n = 4Cmil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolomekCmilH − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.641.8−3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolomekCmilBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 143 vs 374 / 71244.8%52.5%64 / 143 vs 374 / 712Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmilHolomek 2.50/Cmil 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Cmil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cmil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 15:00T. Holomek—7870M. Cmil—1111113
WJun 29 · 20:00T. Holomek—1211113M. Cmil—10550
WJun 15 · 21:05T. Holomek—11116113M. Cmil—871181
LJun 15 · 18:00T. Holomek—9890M. Cmil—1111113
LApr 9 · 05:30T. Holomek—811111052M. Cmil—116812113
LDec 17 · 15:30T. Holomek—971591M. Cmil—111113113
LDec 4 · 13:32T. Holomek—91113492M. Cmil—1171111113
LDec 4 · 11:30T. Holomek—2415111M. Cmil—111113133
LNov 28 · 13:50T. Holomek—5111012102M. Cmil—1181210123
WNov 28 · 12:45T. Holomek—1212118113M. Cmil—141081192
T. Holomek10
LAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782LAug 13 · 12:00T. Holomek2.206870D. Sabuka1.611111113LAug 13 · 10:30M. Holub1.401111123T. Holomek2.7587100LAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101LAug 6 · 08:38A. Akopyan2.38116115113T. Holomek1.5361181182LAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113LAug 6 · 06:30T. Holomek2.2510480M. Holub1.571211113WAug 6 · 05:30T. Holomek1.4071411113A. Akopyan2.751112761LJul 27 · 16:00V. Coubal2.1011114113T. Holomek1.67881171LJul 27 · 15:00M. Cmil1.831111113T. Holomek1.837870
M. Cmil10
WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972LSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113WJul 27 · 15:00M. Cmil1.831111113T. Holomek1.837870
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.