TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12369789
Played Aug 6Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116611118511118
Tomas Holomek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Tomas Holomek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8
88 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 8–11 Tomas Holomek Artur Akopyan has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Holomek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holomek form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 2.38 / Holomek 1.53
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Holomek)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12369789
Akopyan2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Holomek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite38% won 14 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan4wins
AwayHolomek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolomek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan75%3 of 4
AwayHolomek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan4Holomek6n = 10Holomek took 6 of 10
S2Akopyan5Holomek5n = 10split evenly
S3Akopyan6Holomek4n = 10Akopyan took 6 of 10
S4Akopyan2Holomek8n = 10Holomek took 8 of 10
S5Akopyan3Holomek2n = 5Akopyan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanHolomekA − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.642.8−3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanHolomekBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 571 vs 62 / 14342.7%43.4%244 / 571 vs 62 / 143Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolomekAkopyan 2.38/Holomek 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.8%
Holomek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Akopyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 05:30A. Akopyan—1112761T. Holomek—71411113
LJun 25 · 12:48A. Akopyan—511951T. Holomek—11811113
LJun 25 · 09:15A. Akopyan—71151152T. Holomek—119118113
WJun 11 · 12:33A. Akopyan—1161110113T. Holomek—71141242
LJun 11 · 10:00A. Akopyan—271181T. Holomek—11117113
LMay 6 · 16:30A. Akopyan—912111182T. Holomek—1110713113
WMay 6 · 14:30A. Akopyan—711117143T. Holomek—118911122
LFeb 26 · 12:00A. Akopyan—441131T. Holomek—11116113
WFeb 12 · 11:30A. Akopyan—11117113T. Holomek—831131
WDec 23 · 14:30A. Akopyan—119146113T. Holomek—611121192
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140
T. Holomek10
LAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782LAug 13 · 12:00T. Holomek2.206870D. Sabuka1.611111113LAug 13 · 10:30M. Holub1.401111123T. Holomek2.7587100LAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101LAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113LAug 6 · 06:30T. Holomek2.2510480M. Holub1.571211113WAug 6 · 05:30T. Holomek1.4071411113A. Akopyan2.751112761LJul 27 · 16:28T. Holomek2.50121281152M. Cmil1.501410113113LJul 27 · 16:00V. Coubal2.1011114113T. Holomek1.67881171LJul 27 · 15:00M. Cmil1.831111113T. Holomek1.837870
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