TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367261
Played Aug 6Finished
Tomas Holomek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111412117116––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Holomek to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holomek above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 79 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Holomek at 62.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Holomek 10–8 Artur Akopyan Artur Akopyan has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Holomek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Holomek
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holomek 1216 vs Akopyan 1163
Holomek
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holomek 0% vs Akopyan 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holomek 20% vs Akopyan 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holomek -5 · Akopyan -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Holomek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolomek 1.40 / Akopyan 2.75
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Holomek)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12367261
Holomek1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite38% won 14 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it63% 12 of 19
Akopyan2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolomek6wins
AwayAkopyan4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolomek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolomek85.7%6 of 7
AwayAkopyan100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holomek7Akopyan3n = 10Holomek took 7 of 10
S2Holomek5Akopyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Holomek3Akopyan7n = 10Akopyan took 7 of 10
S4Holomek8Akopyan2n = 10Holomek took 8 of 10
S5Holomek2Akopyan3n = 5Akopyan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolomekAkopyanH − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.038.7+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolomekAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 140 vs 243 / 56843.6%42.8%61 / 140 vs 243 / 568Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolomekHolomek 1.40/Akopyan 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Holomek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holomek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 25 · 12:48T. Holomek—11811113A. Akopyan—511951
WJun 25 · 09:15T. Holomek—119118113A. Akopyan—71151152
LJun 11 · 12:33T. Holomek—71141242A. Akopyan—1161110113
WJun 11 · 10:00T. Holomek—11117113A. Akopyan—271181
WMay 6 · 16:30T. Holomek—1110713113A. Akopyan—912111182
LMay 6 · 14:30T. Holomek—118911122A. Akopyan—711117143
WFeb 26 · 12:00T. Holomek—11116113A. Akopyan—441131
LFeb 12 · 11:30T. Holomek—831131A. Akopyan—11117113
LDec 23 · 14:30T. Holomek—611121192A. Akopyan—119146113
WNov 6 · 13:00T. Holomek—11112113A. Akopyan—651151
T. Holomek10
LAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782LAug 13 · 12:00T. Holomek2.206870D. Sabuka1.611111113LAug 13 · 10:30M. Holub1.401111123T. Holomek2.7587100LAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101LAug 6 · 08:38A. Akopyan2.38116115113T. Holomek1.5361181182LAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113LAug 6 · 06:30T. Holomek2.2510480M. Holub1.571211113LJul 27 · 16:28T. Holomek2.50121281152M. Cmil1.501410113113LJul 27 · 16:00V. Coubal2.1011114113T. Holomek1.67881171LJul 27 · 15:00M. Cmil1.831111113T. Holomek1.837870
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490WAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101WAug 6 · 08:38A. Akopyan2.38116115113T. Holomek1.5361181182
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