TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481995
Played Aug 24Finished
Vit Kilian
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111412118511411
Julius Krejcik
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Kilian above · Julius Krejcik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 96 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Julius Krejcik at 76.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vit Kilian 0–3 Julius Krejcik Vit Kilian has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Krejcik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Krejcik
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kilian 1204 vs Krejcik 1403
Krejcik
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kilian 40% vs Krejcik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kilian 20% vs Krejcik 60%
Krejcik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kilian +1 · Krejcik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Krejcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejcik form (40%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKilian 4.00 / Krejcik 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Krejcik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481995
Kilian4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Krejcik1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 15 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKilian0wins
AwayKrejcik3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKrejcik leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kilian1Krejcik2n = 3Krejcik took 2 of 3
S2Kilian1Krejcik2n = 3Krejcik took 2 of 3
S3Kilian1Krejcik2n = 3Krejcik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKilianKrejcikKilian − KrejcikBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.040.7−6.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKilianKrejcikBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 188 vs 17 / 2746.8%63%88 / 188 vs 17 / 27Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikKilian 4.00/Krejcik 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krejcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 15 · 10:00V. Kilian—8690J. Krejcik—1111113
LJul 14 · 10:00V. Kilian—991161J. Krejcik—11119113
LJun 24 · 11:15V. Kilian—111112642J. Krejcik—831411113
V. Kilian10
LAug 27 · 12:28V. Kilian1.53581881M. Cervenka2.38111116113LAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113LAug 27 · 10:30D. Sabuka1.331111113V. Kilian3.259680WAug 27 · 10:00M. Cervenka2.101211581V. Kilian1.6714611113LAug 24 · 12:29D. Sabuka1.53111011113V. Kilian2.38412861LAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kilian2.1071211872D. Sabuka1.671110511113WJul 20 · 16:33V. Kilian2.1011711113T. Holomek1.67911971LJul 20 · 15:30T. Holomek1.57911149143V. Kilian2.251171211122LJul 20 · 15:00V. Kilian1.531211891M. Cervenka2.3814711113
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981LAug 28 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.91412341P. Moulis1.8011101142
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