TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13030001
Played Aug 27Finished
Vit Kilian
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5118111816811––
Miroslav Cervenka
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingVit Kilian above · Miroslav Cervenka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 88 set 4, 8-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Vit Kilian 8–2 Miroslav Cervenka Miroslav Cervenka has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kilian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cervenka form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKilian 1.53 / Cervenka 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kilian)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13030001
Kilian1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite40% won 6 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Cervenka2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 29 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKilian8wins
AwayCervenka2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKilian leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKilian100%7 of 7
AwayCervenka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kilian7Cervenka3n = 10Kilian took 7 of 10
S2Kilian4Cervenka6n = 10Cervenka took 6 of 10
S3Kilian7Cervenka3n = 10Kilian took 7 of 10
S4Kilian4Cervenka5n = 9Cervenka took 5 of 9
S5Kilian4Cervenka0n = 4Kilian took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKilianCervenkaK − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.638.7+4.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKilianCervenkaBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 195 vs 86 / 22145.6%38.9%89 / 195 vs 86 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KilianKilian 1.53/Cervenka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Kilian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cervenka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 10:00V. Kilian—14611113M. Cervenka—1211581
LJul 20 · 15:00V. Kilian—1211891M. Cervenka—14711113
WMay 29 · 10:30V. Kilian—1115713113M. Cervenka—513111542
WMay 21 · 13:08V. Kilian—111013113M. Cervenka—9121161
LMay 21 · 12:00V. Kilian—991181M. Cervenka—11118113
WNov 28 · 10:05V. Kilian—1111113M. Cervenka—7650
WNov 28 · 06:45V. Kilian—1110118113M. Cervenka—61281192
WOct 13 · 11:30V. Kilian—1111115113M. Cervenka—61371182
WOct 1 · 12:37V. Kilian—21111113M. Cervenka—117871
WOct 1 · 10:30V. Kilian—117711113M. Cervenka—51111842
V. Kilian10
LAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113LAug 27 · 10:30D. Sabuka1.331111113V. Kilian3.259680WAug 27 · 10:00M. Cervenka2.101211581V. Kilian1.6714611113LAug 24 · 12:29D. Sabuka1.53111011113V. Kilian2.38412861LAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kilian2.1071211872D. Sabuka1.671110511113LAug 24 · 10:00V. Kilian4.0091411542J. Krejcik1.221112811113WJul 20 · 16:33V. Kilian2.1011711113T. Holomek1.67911971LJul 20 · 15:30T. Holomek1.57911149143V. Kilian2.251171211122LJul 20 · 15:00V. Kilian1.531211891M. Cervenka2.3814711113
M. Cervenka10
WSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113LSep 1 · 07:30M. Cervenka3.255660A. Skyba1.331111113WSep 1 · 06:30M. Cervenka2.6311911133M. Cmil1.446114111WSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111LAug 27 · 11:30D. Sabuka1.281111113M. Cervenka3.507140LAug 27 · 11:00M. Cervenka3.251151241A. Skyba1.3351114113LAug 27 · 10:00M. Cervenka2.101211581V. Kilian1.6714611113LAug 14 · 08:33J. Krejcik1.22614711113M. Cervenka4.00111211682LAug 14 · 07:30M. Cervenka2.25116871J. Krejcik1.5771111113WJul 20 · 15:00V. Kilian1.531211891M. Cervenka2.3814711113
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