TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12347985
Played Aug 2Finished
Tomas Stejskal
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151412112––––
Jan Mares
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Stejskal to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Stejskal above · Jan Mares below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 55 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Tomas Stejskal at 62.2%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Stejskal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stejskal 1427 vs Mares 1211
Stejskal
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stejskal 40% vs Mares 20%
Stejskal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stejskal 60% vs Mares 30%
Stejskal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stejskal +2 · Mares -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Stejskal) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStejskal 1.36 / Mares 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Stejskal)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12347985
Stejskal1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 18 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Mares3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 16 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStejskalMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 215 vs 56 / 14245.6%39.4%98 / 215 vs 56 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StejskalStejskal 1.36/Mares 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Stejskal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stejskal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Stejskal10
LSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113
J. Mares10
LSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LAug 2 · 20:33V. Coubal1.731111113J. Mares2.008870LAug 2 · 19:00J. Mares3.50961131P. Moulis1.2811116103WAug 2 · 18:00J. Mares2.251111119113V. Coubal1.5713971182LJul 28 · 20:38J. Mares2.10311751V. Coubal1.6711711113LJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal1.73611119113J. Mares2.0011841152LJul 28 · 19:00J. Mares3.00115641M. Cmil1.3691111113LJul 28 · 18:00J. Mares3.4051111242J. Mejzlik1.30115711113LJul 25 · 16:28J. Mares3.5071080M. Cmil1.281112103WJul 25 · 15:30M. Cmil1.33126111182J. Mares3.25141126113
Upcoming Matches
T. Stejskal
Nothing scheduled
J. Mares
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