TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12301033
Played Jul 25Finished
Jan Mares
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012810––––
Marcel Cmil
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Mares above · Marcel Cmil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-10
Point 58 set 3, 8-10
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mares 8–19 Marcel Cmil Jan Mares has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Cmil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 3.50 / Cmil 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Cmil)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12301033
Mares3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Cmil1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 100 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares3wins
AwayCmil7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCmil leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares100%3 of 3
AwayCmil100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares3Cmil7n = 10Cmil took 7 of 10
S2Mares3Cmil6n = 9Cmil took 6 of 9
S3Mares3Cmil6n = 9Cmil took 6 of 9
S4Mares1Cmil4n = 5Cmil took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresCmilM − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.933.5−4.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresCmilBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 146 vs 370 / 70539%52.5%57 / 146 vs 370 / 705Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmilMares 3.50/Cmil 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.1%
Cmil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cmil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 16:28J. Mares000M. Cmil221
WJul 25 · 15:30J. Mares44141126113M. Cmil48126111182
LJul 4 · 20:24J. Mares188460M. Cmil331111113
LJul 4 · 19:15J. Mares2239100M. Cmil341111123
LMay 30 · 18:30J. Mares205690M. Cmil331111113
LMar 21 · 21:00J. Mares30191191M. Cmil4111118113
WFeb 15 · 19:30J. Mares331111113M. Cmil236980
WDec 26 · 08:00J. Mares51129811113M. Cmil40101111352
LDec 20 · 21:30J. Mares32811851M. Cmil4211911113
LDec 20 · 20:30J. Mares3981011101M. Cmil3911124123
J. Mares10
LSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LAug 2 · 20:33V. Coubal1.731111113J. Mares2.008870LAug 2 · 19:30T. Stejskal1.361114113J. Mares3.0051220LAug 2 · 19:00J. Mares3.50961131P. Moulis1.2811116103WAug 2 · 18:00J. Mares2.251111119113V. Coubal1.5713971182LJul 28 · 20:38J. Mares2.10311751V. Coubal1.6711711113LJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal1.73611119113J. Mares2.0011841152LJul 28 · 19:00J. Mares3.00115641M. Cmil1.3691111113LJul 28 · 18:00J. Mares3.4051111242J. Mejzlik1.30115711113WJul 25 · 15:30M. Cmil1.33126111182J. Mares3.25141126113
M. Cmil10
LSep 8 · 20:58M. Cmil1.831011111392J. Jnr1.831271311113WSep 8 · 20:00J. Jnr1.80511851M. Cmil1.9111711113WSep 8 · 19:00M. Vydra1.61121191252M. Cmil2.201091114113LSep 8 · 17:30V. Coubal2.251111210113M. Cmil1.5764111232WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WJul 28 · 19:00J. Mares3.00115641M. Cmil1.3691111113LJul 25 · 15:30M. Cmil1.33126111182J. Mares3.25141126113
Upcoming Matches
J. Mares
M. Cmil
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.