TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12316819
Played Jul 28Finished
Jan Mares
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311117711511––
Vaclav Coubal
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Mares above · Vaclav Coubal below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mares 4–7 Vaclav Coubal Jan Mares has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Coubal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coubal form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 2.10 / Coubal 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Coubal)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12316819
Mares2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 16 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Coubal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it68% 32 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares4wins
AwayCoubal6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCoubal leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares57.1%4 of 7
AwayCoubal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares7Coubal3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S2Mares2Coubal8n = 10Coubal took 8 of 10
S3Mares5Coubal5n = 10split evenly
S4Mares4Coubal5n = 9Coubal took 5 of 9
S5Mares2Coubal3n = 5Coubal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresCoubalM − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.342.2−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresCoubalBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 145 vs 196 / 40938.6%47.9%56 / 145 vs 196 / 409Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CoubalMares 2.10/Coubal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Coubal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Coubal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 19:30J. Mares3911841152V. Coubal48611119113
LMar 21 · 20:00J. Mares158340V. Coubal30111183
WMar 8 · 18:03J. Mares48117117123V. Coubal48811811102
WFeb 7 · 10:01J. Mares43111110113V. Coubal37881291
WFeb 7 · 09:00J. Mares43111011113V. Coubal32812841
WDec 26 · 09:30J. Mares491161110113V. Coubal4681191262
LDec 26 · 08:30J. Mares4111118652V. Coubal49881111113
LOct 29 · 21:26J. Mares378101181V. Coubal4311129113
LOct 29 · 20:00J. Mares3811731162V. Coubal48911116113
LSep 22 · 18:00J. Mares30731191V. Coubal4111118113
J. Mares10
LSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LAug 2 · 20:33V. Coubal1.731111113J. Mares2.008870LAug 2 · 19:30T. Stejskal1.361114113J. Mares3.0051220LAug 2 · 19:00J. Mares3.50961131P. Moulis1.2811116103WAug 2 · 18:00J. Mares2.251111119113V. Coubal1.5713971182LJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal1.73611119113J. Mares2.0011841152LJul 28 · 19:00J. Mares3.00115641M. Cmil1.3691111113LJul 28 · 18:00J. Mares3.4051111242J. Mejzlik1.30115711113LJul 25 · 16:28J. Mares3.5071080M. Cmil1.281112103WJul 25 · 15:30M. Cmil1.33126111182J. Mares3.25141126113
V. Coubal10
WSep 8 · 20:31M. Vydra1.578790V. Coubal2.251111113LSep 8 · 19:30V. Coubal2.255670M. Vydra1.571111113LSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143WSep 8 · 17:30V. Coubal2.251111210113M. Cmil1.5764111232LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450WAug 2 · 20:33V. Coubal1.731111113J. Mares2.008870LAug 2 · 18:00J. Mares2.251111119113V. Coubal1.5713971182WJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal1.73611119113J. Mares2.0011841152
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