Milan Vydra vs Vaclav Coubal 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13100827

Played Sep 8Finished

Milan Vydra

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811711911––––

Vaclav Coubal

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingMilan Vydra above · Vaclav Coubal below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 57 set 3, 9-11

57 points played in total.

H2H Milan Vydra 6–5 Vaclav Coubal Vaclav Coubal has won 5 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Vydra beat Coubal 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vydra)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vydra form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVydra 1.57 / Coubal 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Vydra)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13100827

Vydra1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite48% won 29 of 61

Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29

Coubal2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog35% won 39 of 111

Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 61

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVydra5wins

AwayCoubal5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVydra80%4 of 5

AwayCoubal80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vydra5Coubal5n = 10split evenly

S2Vydra5Coubal5n = 10split evenly

S3Vydra6Coubal4n = 10Vydra took 6 of 10

S4Vydra1Coubal4n = 5Coubal took 4 of 5

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricVydraCoubalV − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.431.9+1.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVydraCoubalBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 220 vs 179 / 38448.6%46.6%107 / 220 vs 179 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vydra

Vydra 1.57/Coubal 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.9%

Vydra · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Coubal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 8 · 19:30M. Vydra—1111113V. Coubal—5670

WAug 24 · 19:30M. Vydra—1211113V. Coubal—10930

WJul 27 · 16:59M. Vydra—113115113V. Coubal—81151172

LJul 27 · 14:30M. Vydra—11710101V. Coubal—51112123

WJul 6 · 12:13M. Vydra—1111113V. Coubal—6680

LJul 6 · 09:45M. Vydra—861281V. Coubal—111110113

WMay 24 · 16:00M. Vydra—111111113V. Coubal—133931

LJul 14 · 14:00M. Vydra—7870V. Coubal—1111113

LJul 11 · 10:00M. Vydra—9370V. Coubal—1111113

LMar 26 · 13:50M. Vydra—911881V. Coubal—11711113

M. Vydra10

WSep 8 · 19:30V. Coubal2.255670M. Vydra1.571111113 LSep 8 · 19:00M. Vydra1.61121191252M. Cmil2.201091114113 LSep 8 · 18:00M. Vydra2.63611691J. Jnr1.4411911113 LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282 WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113 WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250 LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133 WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540 LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123 WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113

V. Coubal10

LSep 8 · 19:30V. Coubal2.255670M. Vydra1.571111113 LSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143 WSep 8 · 17:30V. Coubal2.251111210113M. Cmil1.5764111232 LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460 WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110 WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450 LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113 WAug 25 · 16:34M. Cmil1.5712990V. Coubal2.251411113 LAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub1.4411811113V. Coubal2.63611851 LAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113

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