TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095085
Played Sep 8Finished
Milan Vydra
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119611911––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Vydra above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 61.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vydra 6–5 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vydra 1342 vs Jnr 1288
Vydra
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vydra 60% vs Jnr 0%
Vydra
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vydra 60% vs Jnr 30%
Vydra
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vydra -1 · Jnr -5
Jnr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVydra 2.63 / Jnr 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jnr)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13095085
Vydra2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Jnr1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 92 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it74% 65 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVydra5wins
AwayJnr5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVydra75%3 of 4
AwayJnr66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vydra4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S2Vydra6Jnr4n = 10Vydra took 6 of 10
S3Vydra5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S4Vydra4Jnr5n = 9Jnr took 5 of 9
S5Vydra2Jnr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVydraJnrV − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.8+1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVydraJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 221 vs 242 / 46948.4%51.6%107 / 221 vs 242 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrVydra 2.63/Jnr 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 19:00M. Vydra—9870J. Jnr—1111113
LJul 6 · 11:45M. Vydra—611481J. Jnr—11411113
LJun 30 · 12:00M. Vydra—511661J. Jnr—11911113
WJun 28 · 10:00M. Vydra—851111113J. Jnr—11113592
WJun 27 · 15:30M. Vydra—91115113J. Jnr—1161351
WJun 1 · 16:43M. Vydra—119119113J. Jnr—91151142
LJun 1 · 14:30M. Vydra—11611852J. Jnr—311611113
LMay 17 · 13:30M. Vydra—81111472J. Jnr—116311113
WFeb 23 · 16:00M. Vydra—11118183J. Jnr—4811171
WOct 25 · 06:30M. Vydra—11118113J. Jnr—351191
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113LAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra2.008111211113F. Fryml1.7311314932
J. Jnr10
WSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871
Upcoming Matches
M. Vydra
Nothing scheduled
J. Jnr
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