TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352816
Played Aug 2Finished
Vaclav Coubal
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Jan Mares
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVaclav Coubal above · Jan Mares below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7
56 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Coubal 8–5 Jan Mares Jan Mares has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Coubal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCoubal 1.73 / Mares 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Coubal)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12352816
Coubal1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Mares2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 16 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCoubal5wins
AwayMares5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCoubal75%3 of 4
AwayMares66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Coubal4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Coubal6Mares4n = 10Coubal took 6 of 10
S3Coubal5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S4Coubal6Mares3n = 9Coubal took 6 of 9
S5Coubal2Mares3n = 5Mares took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCoubalMaresC − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.4+2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCoubalMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 404 vs 56 / 14248%39.4%194 / 404 vs 56 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CoubalCoubal 1.73/Mares 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Coubal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Coubal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 18:00V. Coubal4813971182J. Mares531111119113
WJul 28 · 20:38V. Coubal4011711113J. Mares26311751
WJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal48611119113J. Mares3911841152
WMar 21 · 20:00V. Coubal30111183J. Mares158340
LMar 8 · 18:03V. Coubal48811811102J. Mares48117117123
LFeb 7 · 10:01V. Coubal37881291J. Mares43111110113
LFeb 7 · 09:00V. Coubal32812841J. Mares43111011113
LDec 26 · 09:30V. Coubal4681191262J. Mares491161110113
WDec 26 · 08:30V. Coubal49881111113J. Mares4111118652
WOct 29 · 21:26V. Coubal4311129113J. Mares378101181
V. Coubal10
WSep 8 · 20:31M. Vydra1.578790V. Coubal2.251111113LSep 8 · 19:30V. Coubal2.255670M. Vydra1.571111113LSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143WSep 8 · 17:30V. Coubal2.251111210113M. Cmil1.5764111232LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WAug 25 · 16:34M. Cmil1.5712990V. Coubal2.251411113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub1.4411811113V. Coubal2.63611851
J. Mares10
LSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LAug 2 · 19:30T. Stejskal1.361114113J. Mares3.0051220LAug 2 · 19:00J. Mares3.50961131P. Moulis1.2811116103WAug 2 · 18:00J. Mares2.251111119113V. Coubal1.5713971182LJul 28 · 20:38J. Mares2.10311751V. Coubal1.6711711113LJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal1.73611119113J. Mares2.0011841152LJul 28 · 19:00J. Mares3.00115641M. Cmil1.3691111113LJul 28 · 18:00J. Mares3.4051111242J. Mejzlik1.30115711113LJul 25 · 16:28J. Mares3.5071080M. Cmil1.281112103WJul 25 · 15:30M. Cmil1.33126111182J. Mares3.25141126113
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